CrossVol

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CrossVol Research on Substack

Non-consensus thesis notes on macro volatility, derivatives positioning, and cross-asset transmission.

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Gamma exposure, vega exposure, term structure, risk reversal — the framework, on a single workstation.

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The latest thesis

Why the sell-side is six months late on AI infrastructure — published May 23, 2026. Five convergent shocks. Two dated catalysts. The math behind a 25-40% rerate by Q1 2027.

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